Nascar Betting Odds Talladega 2018
That said, five of his six career top 10s in the Cup Series have come at Daytona and Talladega. He had a three-race run at Daytona from July 2018 to both 2019 races where he averaged a 5.3 finish. NASCAR at Talladega Odds, Betting Picks.Odds as of Sunday at 7 a.m. Joey Logano (+900) to Win at Talladega. Since joining Stewart-Haas Racing in 2018, Almirola has one win, four top-10. Chase Elliott and Joey Logano, currently second and third in NASCAR's Cup Series standings, are +800 co-favorites in Sunday's GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway. Photo By - USA TODAY Sports. Odds taken June 17th. A Note About Talladega. I usually start off with our top pick among the favorites in this section, but I am changing it up this week. For those who don’t bet NASCAR all that regularly, you’ll want to be really careful with most of the top drivers on Sunday as many of them don’t thrive at Talladega.
The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Talladega Superspeedway for the GEICO 500. The green flag drops Sunday at 3 p.m. ET with the race televised on FOX. Below, we analyze the GEICO 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.
GEICO 500: What you need to know
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, June 19 at 4:50 p.m. ET.
Sunday’s run at the Talladega Superspeedway is the first on a superspeedway track since the Daytona 500 opened the 2020 Sprint Cup Series season. That seems so long ago, as the stands were packed during pre-COVID 19 days. However, Talladega will actually host 5,000 fans in the frontstretch grandstands/towers, and there will be a limited amount of motorhome spots available outside of the track, too.
Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott (+800 for Sunday’s race) won the spring race at Talladega last season, while Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney (+1100) took checkers in the fall race at the Alabama superspeedway.Talladega’s tri-oval is 2.66 miles long, compared to Daytona International Speedway, which is 2.5 miles long. There are four turns, and those turns have a 33-degree bank with a slight bank or fifth turn in front of the main grandstand.Each of the past five winners have started fourth or lower in the grid, and 15 of the previous 16 winners have started from the outside of Row 2 or lower.Ford has dominated this track in recent years, posting eight victories in the past nine starts.Who is going to win the GEICO 500?
BRAD KESELOWSKI (+850) leads all active drivers with five victories at Talladega, so the Penske driver has to be considered a must-bet option, especially considering Ford’s dominance in recent seasons.
Keselowski has seven top-5 finishes, 11 top-10 showings and 293 laps led in his 22 career starts with a 16.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) and four DNFs.
JOEY LOGANO (+900), Keselowski’s teammate, picked up a victory in the spring 2018 Talladega race, and has raced to Victory Lane in three of the past nine Cup races at Talladega Superspeedway. In 22 career starts, Logano has finished inside the top 5 on eight occasions, leading 319 laps and posting a 16.2 AFP.
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CHASE ELLIOTT (+800) has been a quick study at Talladega, picking up a win in eight Cup starts at the track. In addition, he has three top-5 showings and four top-10 finishes, while racking up 126 laps in the front of the pack and turning in a 13.25 AFP, second among active drivers with at least three career Cup starts at the superspeedway.
Talladega Superspeedway prop bets
ARIC ALMIROLA (-110) has stepped up his game in recent seasons, bringing it home inside the top 10 in each of his past seven Talladega starts. As such, he is a SOLID BET TO FINISH INSIDE THE TOP 10 yet again. The defending champ from the fall race, Blaney (-200) is a little on the expensive side even for a top-10 finish. While yes, he won last season at the track, he had posted a 23.8 AFP in the previous five runs at ‘Dega. A better bet might be Ryan Newman (+185), as he has finished inside the top 10 in four of the past five runs at the superspeedway.
For Talladega, you can take part in group betting. If you’re new to betting, this simply means you choose one driver among a listed group of four. Whomever places highest cashes a winning ticket. In Group 3 betting, AUSTIN DILLON (+250) is a good play in the group with William Byron (+215), Matt DiBenedetto (+250) and Christopher Bell (+275).
Among the best finishing position matchups, take LOGANO (-118) to finish better than Denny Hamlin. ALMIROLA (-115) is a good bet to outpace Alex Bowman, while DILLON (-118) is also worth playing against DiBenedetto.
Talladega Superspeedway long-shot bets
RICKY STENHOUSE JR. (+2000) is always worth a look at superspeedways. He picked up a win here during the spring 2017 run in his Ford, while starting from the pole position. In 13 career Cup starts here, he has five top-5 showings, eight top-10 runs and a 11.62 AFP, leading all active drivers.
ALMIROLA (+2000) is also worth a roll of the dice, posting a win, four top-5 runs, eight top-10 results and 46 laps led with a 15.35 AFP in his 20 career Talladega starts. And, as mentioned, he has cracked off seven straight runs finishing ninth or better, including the win in the fall of 2018 at ‘Dega.
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2018 GEICO 500 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Bad Bets for the GEICO 500: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series visits Talladega Superspeedway this weekend, which means restrictor-plate racing returns for the first time since the season opener at Daytona. Plate racing can create some exciting finishes, but it also creates packing racing and plenty of wrecks.
Unfortunately, the chaotic nature of plate racing will make Sunday’s GEICO 500 one of the tougher races to predict, but while it is true that sleepers will have a better shot at winning at Talladega than almost any track on the schedule, it is also true that big names will still emerge with the win more often than not.
With that in mind, here is a closer look at the top betting options that I like for the GEICO 500 at Talladega, as well as a couple of favorites who I believe are overrated.
2018 GEICO 500 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Favorites and Bad Bets for the GEICO 500
Favorites to Bet
Brad Keselowski (5/1)
Ford has been rolling at the plate tracks, especially at Talladega where the manufacturer has won eight of the last 11 races. Keselowski has been leading the pack, and his six career restrictor-plate wins are the most among active drivers. Five of his six wins have come at Talladega, and no driver has led more laps over the last 10 races at plate tracks. There is no such thing as a “safe” bet at a track like Talladega, but Keselowski is your best bet to have the car to beat.
Joey Logano (8/1)
He is teammates with Brad Keselowski, and Logano has been arguably the most consistent performer at the plate tracks. Over the last 10 races, he leads all drivers with five Top 5s and seven Top 10s. Logano has two wins at Talladega during that stretch, and he is a three-time winner at plate tracks overall. He led 59 laps and finished fourth at Talladega last fall, and he finished fourth again in this year’s Daytona 500. Logano will bring a car capable of contending for the win.
Ryan Blaney (12/1)
Blaney had already shown upside at the plate tracks prior to this season, finishing as high as second in the Daytona 500. He joined Team Penske in the offseason, and he immediately made the jump to serious contender, leading a race-high 118 laps in the Daytona 500. His teammates, Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are two of the betting favorites for Sunday’s GEICO 500, and Blaney gives you exposure to the same equipment while giving you more room for profit.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (14/1)
He is an afterthought at most tracks, but Stenhouse has become one of the premier drivers at the restrictor-plate tracks. He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and he won two of the four plate races last year. Stenhouse has also cracked the Top 5 in four of the last seven plate races, leading laps in four straight. He is the best value bet about among the favorites this weekend.
Nascar Betting Odds Talladega 2018 Race
Bad Bets
Nascar Betting Odds Talladega 2019
Kevin Harvick (10/1)
Harvick has multiple restrictor-plate wins under his belt, but he’s been in a real slump recently. He has just two Top 10s and a single Top 5 over the last 10 plate races, and he has finished 20th or worse in five straight. Meanwhile, his last Top 5 at Talladega came way back in 2011. Harvick is one of the best drivers in the series, but it just hasn’t been happening at the plate tracks. He is overvalued at these odds.
Martin Truex Jr. (20/1)
He finished second in the 2016 Daytona 500, but that is about the only notable thing Truex has accomplished at the plate tracks. He has finished outside the Top 10 in each of his last eight races, and in 52 career starts at plate tracks, Truex has a combined three Top 5 finishes. He is one of the favorites to win the title this year, but he should not be one of the favorites to win Sunday. You are much better off throwing a few bucks at a betting longshot.
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Talladega Nascar Race
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